Hamilton, Madison, and Jay

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Location: Mesa, Arizona, United States

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Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Hillary Clinton's Win in West Virginia

We are not fond of this woman, but she pulled off a monster win last night in West Virginia; walloping Senator Obama by 41%. Worse yet for Senator Obama is that he he did not take a single county:

The Associated Press and television networks projected Clinton as the winner seconds after polls closed, suggesting that surveys that showed her winning by a bruising margin were accurate. With over 40 percent of the vote in, Clinton held a more than two to one margin.Clinton, who campaigned energetically in the state, insisted to West Virginians that their vote would still play a role in determining the party’s nominee. "I am more determined than ever to carry on this campaign until everyone has had a chance to make their voices heard," Clinton told jubilant supporters. "The White House is won in the swing states and I am winning the swing states."

Exit polls again held signs of concern for Obama as Clinton's margin was built among a West Virginia electorate that was largely white and working class - a demographic that has so far remained skeptical of Obama's historic candidacy.

Just over a third of Clinton's supporters said they would support Obama in the general election - and roughly the same number said they would support Arizona Sen John McCain.

But Obama, who wasn’t even in the state Tuesday, had already acknowledged that Clinton would beat him badly in West Virginia and tried to minimize her triumph.

“There is no question that Senator Clinton is going to win by huge margins in the upcoming primaries in West Virginia today and Kentucky next weeks. She has poured resources into both states and she, former President Clinton, and Chelsea Clinton have all campaigned extraordinarily hard there,” his campaign said in a memo released Tuesday.

That is nice spin by him, but this sends a message to superdelegates that he is weaker than he appeared. It is time to face facts, and those facts tell the story of a frontrunner who may limp into the convention with only a single victory between February and August. That is hardly a strong showing for the man who has "preached" hope and change. This loss he racked up last night may not be a gig deal to him, but it has to make an impression on other Democrats, namely superdelegates.

West Virginia, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New York, Texas, Indiana, California ... He took none of these states, and these are big states. West Virginia alone was seen as a state that could have been flipped from red to blue, but not if Senator Obama is on the top of the ticket. His campaign can claim that he knew he was going to lose, and they can even throw out the race card if they think it will help them with their cause, but that is not the reflection coming out of West Virginia. More and more Democrats are coming out and saying if he is the nominee, they will not vote for him. And why is that? Because they see him as dishonest and untrustworthy. Recent statements made by his campaign, enabled by the New York Times, have voters looking at him in a different light, and it will not be a pleasant one come November.

Now it is speculated that he will probably take Oregon, but if that does not happen -- if Senator Clinton runs the rest of the table -- that image will not be one he wants to project going into the convention. We expect to see more pressure applied to Senator Clinton to bow out of the race. The media, especially, will be hitting her hard, but she will not bow out. We know that former President Clinton said she would make that decision after the last primary in June, but we believe her mind is already made up, and it will only be reinforced if she skunks Senator Obama in the remaining primaries.

Marcie

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