The Politico paints a portentious picture pertaining to presidential prospects
One year before voters go to the polls to select the next president, the Republican Party is as weak as it has been in a generation, a detailed new poll suggests. In a hypothetical matchup between Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani, bloc after bloc of traditionally Republican voters break for Clinton: She wins the South.
She polls evenly with voters who attend church at least once a week. She splits families with a household income above $100,000.
She loses rural voters and men — but only by a narrow margin.
All are constituencies Republicans have dominated for decades; George W. Bush won each by double-digit margins.
The findings from The Pew Research Center for the People & the Press remain preliminary, considering even the primaries are still two months off.
But Pew questioned an unusually large number of voters to try to paint the most accurate picture possible of where the presidential contest stands today.
Should the race continue down its current trajectory, the poll finds Clinton defeating Giuliani by eight percentage points.
Other recent polls, however, have placed Giuliani ahead of Clinton in a head-to-head race.
But those polls predict Clinton would beat Fred Thompson, John McCain or Mitt Romney.
And Barack Obama would defeat Giuliani — though narrowly — according to at least four polls taken in October. In fact, Democrats hold a marked advantage over Republicans in the eyes of voters.
Problem number one with this poll is that it's being taken one year before the elections. Problem number two is that most Americans don't pay attention to election politics until after Labor Day of the election year. Third problem is that this joins a growing number of stories coming our showing the Democrats winning the White House despite their low approval numbers. Those numbers -- the ones defining Congress right now -- are the albatross around the neck of the Democrats.
Hillary loses the rural vote. Know why that's heartening? Because of this map which shows that John Kerry couldn't break through on the rural vote either. I can't believe that the South would go for Hillary because she is diametrically opposed to them ideologically on virtually every issue. They're taking a liking to Rudy because of what he has said (honesty is the key element to his appeal), and for his promises (regarding jurists, he is more in line with their thinking).
Hillary has proposed a tax increase that would rival her husband's which was instituted back in 1993. Need we be reminded of this quote from the junior senator from New York?
"We're saying that for America to get back on track, we're probably going to cut that short and not give it to you. We're going to take things away from you on behalf of the common good."
How about this one?
She defended that decision yesterday, saying she is focusing on proposals with more political support and she is not formally proposing anything she can't fund without increasing the deficit: "I have a million ideas. The country can't afford them all."
The Pew guys can speculate and examine answers from those they phone all they want, but the idea she will raise taxes is the tip of an iceberg her campaign is going to run into when it comes to the run in the general election. Given her statements (like those last night) concerning illegal immigrants, the comments made with regard to the war and the missions abroad, and the fact that several concerned citizens in the 'Sphere are demanding that the FEC investigate the dirty money trail to her campaign she is wounded badly and reeling. Last night's beating was just the beginning. I do hope the junior senator has her vest on because the shots are going to keep coming, and not just from the right. Last night, her fellow Democrats smelled blood in the water, and they bled her live on TV.
Welcome to Politics 2008 Hillary. We play for keeps.