Hamilton, Madison, and Jay

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Location: Mesa, Arizona, United States

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Saturday, January 5, 2008

Romney Takes Wyoming

Evidently Governor Huckabee could care less about other states going later in the primary because Governor Romney won Wyoming handily yesterday:

Mitt Romney captured his first win of the Republican presidential race, gaining most of Wyoming's delegates at stake in GOP caucuses on Saturday.

The former Massachusetts governor won six of the first eight delegates to be selected. Former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson and California Rep. Duncan Hunter won one apiece, meaning no other candidate could beat Romney. Caucuses were still being held to decide all 12 delegates at stake.

The win was a boost for Romney, coming two days after his loss to Mike Huckabee in the
Iowa caucuses and three days before the first-in-the- nation primary in New Hampshire. Those two states have attracted most of the political attention. Wyoming had scheduled its GOP county conventions earlier to attract candidates to the state but had only modest results.

Romney visited Wyoming in August and November and three of his five sons campaigned in the state. One son, Josh Romney, owns a ranch in southwest Wyoming.

"Number one, he campaigned here," delegate Leigh Vosler of Cheyenne said of Romney. "I think that helped while some other candidates ignored us. But also he's the right person for the job."
Hunter, Thompson and Ron Paul all stopped by the state—visits they probably wouldn't have made except for this year's early conventions—and candidates have sent Wyoming's GOP voters a flood of campaign mail. Huckabee, the former Arkansas governor, did not visit Wyoming and drew little support. Arizona Sen. John McCain and former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani also did not visit and received little support.


This was a definitive win for Governor Romney, and one in which Governor Huckabee could have used to bolster a campaign that is destined to fall flat after Iowa. According to the latest Real Clear Politics polls Senator McCain has a five point lead over Governor Romney in New Hampshire, but Governor Romney has a sixteen point lead over Governor Huckabee.

I believe that Governor Huckabee's next win will not come for some time. We both believe that Iowa was an aberration; a fluke. He turned on the folksy charm, and Iowans fell for it. On the flip side, given Senator Obama's win, a nine point bounce going into New Hampshire, the Clinton camp has to be rightly worried. The inevitable has turned into the weakened and wounded. (The Republicans in Wyoming bumped their caucus up; Democrats do not go until March 8th.) New Hampshire, Michigan, South Carolina, and Florida could prove to be rough states for her, and any one of them could be her Waterloo.

The same cannot be said of Governor Romney. Despite what pundits were moping about after Iowa, he is sitting fine. Governor Huckabee is banking on South Carolina to be his next boost, but he is not the only one counting on South Carolina. Both John McCain and Rudy Giuliani are banking on that state for a serious boost prior to February 5th. For Senator McCain, it could be a make or break point for his campaign given that he lost South Carolina in 2000, lost his temper there, and blew his race.

But we congratulate Mitt Romney on his win Wyoming. You cannot take every state, but every state you can take is a feather in your hat.

Marcie

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